CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc40030c2803dc0b218e9164a35ee970648be9afbd6c9d989c7c24a13aee99f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof GamerLegion, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Sinners | 51c | 2,000$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.6 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 44c | 811.17$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed GamerLegion | 49c | 595.92$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners | 42c | 501.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.02 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed GamerLegion | 29c | 500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 38c | 460.37$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed Sinners | 65c | 433.85$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Sinners | 46c | 407.55$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked GamerLegion | 52c | 389.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed GamerLegion | 58c | 377.31$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.39 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…44edbacked GamerLegion | 49c | 374.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sinners | 49c | 371.75$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.89 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…30f1backed Sinners | 66c | 336$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sinners | 43c | 302.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.37 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GamerLegion | 57c | 300$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed GamerLegion | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed GamerLegion | 28c | 299.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked GamerLegion | 54c | 285.19$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…1aa6backed GamerLegion | 46c | 259.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Sinners | 72c | 253$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 34c | 246.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked Sinners | 52c | 212.4$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Sinners | 53c | 203.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed GamerLegion | 23c | 201.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Sinners | 53c | 192.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked GamerLegion | 58c | 182$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 31c | 138.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Sinners | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed GamerLegion | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed GamerLegion | 53c | 110.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed GamerLegion | 33c | 108.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Sinners | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed GamerLegion | 58c | 105$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Sinners | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed GamerLegion | 51c | 103.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked GamerLegion | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked GamerLegion | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked GamerLegion | 57c | 93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed GamerLegion | 23c | 90.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed GamerLegion | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed GamerLegion | 56c | 66.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sinners | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Sinners | 43c | 51.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sinners | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed GamerLegion | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Sinners | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Sinners | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…70ffbacked Sinners | 66c | 37.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Sinners | 41c | 35.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Sinners | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Sinners | 45c | 32.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed GamerLegion | 70c | 30.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sinners | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked GamerLegion | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Sinners | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Sinners | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked GamerLegion | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GamerLegion | 53c | 19.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked Sinners | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.