Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ivory vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64368489e9f86aff3e6091f780919ef396b53e6e0955279256247e9d3d7c33ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof Ivory, InterActive Philippines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed InterActive Philippines | 31c | 1,604$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.3 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Ivory | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.24 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ivory | 16c | 823.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.79 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ivory | 37c | 714.1$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 27c | 399.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Ivory | 44c | 277.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.66 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed InterActive Philippines | 49c | 243.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed InterActive Philippines | 26c | 219.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed InterActive Philippines | 34c | 201.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed InterActive Philippines | 61c | 197.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Ivory | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…5cd7backed InterActive Philippines | 17c | 118.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed InterActive Philippines | 38c | 83.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Ivory | 61c | 81.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Ivory | 79c | 57.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…06c2backed InterActive Philippines | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…233fbacked InterActive Philippines | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Ivory | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed InterActive Philippines | 62c | 22.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…f8bebacked InterActive Philippines | 50c | 20.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked InterActive Philippines | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…4eaabacked Ivory | 58c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ivory vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Ivory vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 WinnerInterActive Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.