Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba89ce43f8fa1e678a3446c2e726566b8762cc638d44d153ad0ae268fcc92fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 38,300$19,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,624.13 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 27,617$13,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,955.11 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 52c | 8,888$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.75 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 4,972$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.55 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 4,020$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.71 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 48c | 2,771$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 48c | 2,167$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 48c | 1,613$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 48c | 895.83$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.83 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 810.24$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 759$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 722.34$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.17 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 699.87$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.93 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 48c | 646.33$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.09 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 47c | 630$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 557.44$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.87 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 53c | 499$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.63 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 48c | 492.08$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.88 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 48c | 414.59$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.59 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 51c | 388.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 388$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 246.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 210.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 54c | 185.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Over | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 88.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 84.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…58ecbacked Under | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Over | 48c | 50.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 47c | 39.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…6047backed Under | 51c | 27.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 21.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State Bears vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 143.5this page
- Missouri State Bears vs. New Mexico State AggiesMissouri State Bears won
- Missouri State Bears vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-5.5)Missouri State Bears won
- Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-6.5)Missouri State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.