South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2288860403b76ed2a98eaaf5b7cb1810684c8b572fdc480f5c5f7b147c1624a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 595.29$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 259.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 25c | 193$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 14c | 167.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 74c | 116.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 75c | 88.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 26c | 77.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 58.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 33.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 33.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest end in a draw?this page
- Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-02-10?No won
- Will Deportivo Táchira FC win on 2026-02-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.