NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d47cdedbe1668ad51180013dbbeb73c644c5414e0ee65fe293c7864e2bc41bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 3,069$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.74 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 384.69$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 53c | 287$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 53c | 252$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 54c | 233.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 55c | 160.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 53c | 159$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 57c | 146$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Under | 57c | 143.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Under | 55c | 109.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aeb…83e4backed Over | 48c | 29.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Bruins won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Bruins won
- Utah vs. BruinsBruins won
- Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.