NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d9e209e67beca68dc5057a61a0c54aad0e8c3f6beca240e8df667f1c47e0269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Utah, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bruins | 70c | 551.25$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.52 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Utah | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Bruins | 69c | 192$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Bruins | 70c | 133.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Bruins | 70c | 128$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Bruins | 71c | 128$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Bruins | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah | 30c | 114$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Bruins | 70c | 109$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Bruins | 69c | 104$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Bruins | 71c | 104$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Bruins | 70c | 97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Bruins | 69c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Bruins | 69c | 87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Bruins | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Bruins | 69c | 82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Utah | 31c | 81.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Bruins | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Bruins | 70c | 77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Utah | 30c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Bruins | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Utah | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Bruins | 69c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Utah | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Utah | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Bruins | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Utah | 28c | 57.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Bruins | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Utah | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Bruins | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Utah | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Utah | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Utah | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Utah | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Utah | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Utah | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Utah | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Utah | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Bruins | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Utah | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Utah | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Bruins | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce87…2f3fbacked Utah | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Bruins | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Bruins | 72c | 29.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Bruins | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab4…9895backed Bruins | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bruins | 66c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…4011backed Bruins | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Bruins won
- Utah vs. BruinsBruins won
- Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.