NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x624fde4d1c74ad1e0ad20ddaf3492c088f891c2988c3b32fbf8253e91d6f633c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9f0…72b0backed Over | 56c | 20,458$11,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,456.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Under | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Under | 44c | 6,100$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…6e64backed Under | 44c | 5,700$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 42c | 2,750$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 58c | 2,200$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Over | 57c | 879.98$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…f985backed Under | 44c | 670$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 652.21$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.22 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 57c | 555$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 280.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 57c | 196$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 185.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 43c | 166$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 43c | 165$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 42c | 135$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 43c | 126$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 117.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 43c | 113$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 43c | 111$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…937bbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 57c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 57c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 59c | 34.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 58c | 26.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 60c | 23.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -80%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Bruins won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Bruins won
- Utah vs. BruinsBruins won
- Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.