TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Colgate Raiders vs. Holy Cross Crusaders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colgate Raidersof Colgate Raiders, Holy Cross Crusaders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,245 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Colgate Raiders77c1,965$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Holy Cross Crusaders8c1,954$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.125,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Holy Cross Crusaders10c897.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.593,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Holy Cross Crusaders7c843.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.791,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Holy Cross Crusaders23c820$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.656444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Holy Cross Crusaders19c743$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.812,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Holy Cross Crusaders23c685.5$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.141,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Holy Cross Crusaders27c657.28$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.411,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Colgate Raiders74c650$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1691,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Holy Cross Crusaders26c634.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9746446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Colgate Raiders73c578$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.141,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Holy Cross Crusaders25c519$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.172,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colgate Raiders77c453.15$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.222,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848e…d966backed Holy Cross Crusaders11c410.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Holy Cross Crusaders27c398$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4922050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colgate Raiders77c283.02$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Holy Cross Crusaders12c265.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0819138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders10c236.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Holy Cross Crusaders23c199.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Colgate Raiders73c195.1$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Holy Cross Crusaders20c194.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.722,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Holy Cross Crusaders23c182.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Holy Cross Crusaders25c181$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.253,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Colgate Raiders71c155.32$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.21,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Holy Cross Crusaders23c132.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.46616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Holy Cross Crusaders20c114.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.972,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Holy Cross Crusaders22c109.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Holy Cross Crusaders25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Colgate Raiders78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.216657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Holy Cross Crusaders22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2238645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Holy Cross Crusaders22c99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.787243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Colgate Raiders76c91.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Holy Cross Crusaders23c87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0125230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Holy Cross Crusaders17c83.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Holy Cross Crusaders20c71.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders16c65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Colgate Raiders78c64.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.241573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Holy Cross Crusaders27c63.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.942339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Colgate Raiders71c56.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.311,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Holy Cross Crusaders23c54.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7418230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Holy Cross Crusaders23c47.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6629012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Colgate Raiders77c43.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Holy Cross Crusaders23c43.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Colgate Raiders71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.736942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Colgate Raiders78c29.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.529264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Colgate Raiders78c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.383461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Colgate Raiders79c27.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.742751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x512a…0b6ebacked Colgate Raiders75c26.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.663470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Colgate Raiders78c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.723455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f34…3bd9backed Colgate Raiders77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Colgate Raiders79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3214448.6%70 W · 74 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Colgate Raiders78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.844456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc8…8eacbacked Colgate Raiders79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22972.4%21 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe4…52d7backed Colgate Raiders79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.24468.2%30 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1acf…d02ebacked Colgate Raiders78c19.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f0…8b02backed Colgate Raiders78c18.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.121376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Colgate Raiders75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.754365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.