Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Colgate Raiders (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dac5c75641638e58b58409ba98efd75e5d62a459c40f69e514670800b8d0471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Holy Cross Crusadersof Colgate Raiders, Holy Cross Crusaders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colgate Raiders | 52c | 796.99$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 48c | 339.37$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 46c | 292.33$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 49c | 286.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colgate Raiders | 55c | 266$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 49c | 195.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Colgate Raiders | 52c | 123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 46c | 120.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 36c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colgate Raiders | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Colgate Raiders | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…af84backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 79c | 21.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Colgate Raiders | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Colgate Raiders | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colgate Raiders (-7.5)this page
- Colgate Raiders vs. Holy Cross CrusadersColgate Raiders won
- Colgate Raiders vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Colgate Raiders (-8.5)Holy Cross Crusaders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.