Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe94c9666a610e9123e5ac806763b4c455a27858b8795489d569618adcfa8c619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 50c | 1,327$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.58 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 50c | 1,052$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 448.96$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 886 | 44.4%393 W · 493 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 287.47$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 1,441 | 41%591 W · 850 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 16c | 206.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed No | 49c | 202.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked No | 72c | 170.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 163.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 25c | 161.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed No | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 51c | 108.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 595 | 48.4%288 W · 307 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 101.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 1,939 | 45.3%878 W · 1,061 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 19c | 97.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 53c | 93.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 48c | 78.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 50c | 76.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 68.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…1763backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…4e25backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 51c | 54.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 475 | 50.1%238 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 50c | 53.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 49c | 48.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 45c | 46.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 50c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…46bbbacked No | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 36.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Yes | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9f…4f2cbacked No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Yes | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.