TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe667…898fbacked Over0c8,359$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over57c4,400$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c3,698$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.91,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over58c3,445$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.3721143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c2,383$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.1987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,921$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.8437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under41c1,289$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.563551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c1,281$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.4135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over56c1,111$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.912334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over59c999$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.413537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under42c969$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.0212147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under70c816.94$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under42c543.15$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0333938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over48c539.71$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.559145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over31c467.32$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.822642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c462.3$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c443.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.171,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c409.5$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under45c370$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.58041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over15c299.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over41c212.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed91…8ce8backed Over12c206.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under40c201.8$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.869159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over51c201.22$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.624546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under42c178.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under40c151.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1326550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over45c145.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6b…1fdebacked Over16c145.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under41c128.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over45c117.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.268856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Under41c104.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+272%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.985635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over43c100.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over60c99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.43636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over12c98.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.042236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under39c86.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.026553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over18c82.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e3…42f1backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.947352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under73c77.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.899152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83bc…b918backed Under40c77.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacd8…6633backed Under54c72.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under40c68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+79.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under43c66.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.784420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302015%3 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Under49c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.593743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under66c57.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.313228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c57.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.695440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Under41c56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.042951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99df…b59abacked Under42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Under64c48.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Under40c42.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+125.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad0…cd27backed Over61c40.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed5…472bbacked Under71c39.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Over60c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0efc…55a7backed Over61c36.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x399b…d03bbacked Over34c32.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Over60c31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed Under77c30.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over59c28.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6746450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Under41c27.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.971163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under41c26.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.411040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Over56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Over60c24.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Over60c24.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.722454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under70c18.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed Over60c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.