Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Butler Bulldogs vs. Creighton Bluejays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f5505d9772344d30bc6e5292b25d2af2fb47c9e484e7fcee18a22abc1dbb43e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creighton Bluejaysof Butler Bulldogs, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 25c | 4,834$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 2,186$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.6 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 68c | 2,046$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Creighton Bluejays | 78c | 1,410$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Butler Bulldogs | 16c | 1,018$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Butler Bulldogs | 20c | 976.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.18 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Creighton Bluejays | 71c | 969$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.53 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Butler Bulldogs | 11c | 922.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Butler Bulldogs | 13c | 756.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Creighton Bluejays | 79c | 738.54$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Butler Bulldogs | 33c | 663$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Butler Bulldogs | 31c | 617.07$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Butler Bulldogs | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Creighton Bluejays | 68c | 530$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.33 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Butler Bulldogs | 18c | 515.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Butler Bulldogs | 18c | 435.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Butler Bulldogs | 21c | 372.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Creighton Bluejays | 72c | 340.28$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 16c | 229.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Butler Bulldogs | 30c | 191$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Creighton Bluejays | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Butler Bulldogs | 30c | 177.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 30c | 157$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 80c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 30c | 122$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Butler Bulldogs | 13c | 107.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Butler Bulldogs | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Creighton Bluejays | 75c | 91.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Creighton Bluejays | 72c | 83.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Butler Bulldogs | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…2241backed Creighton Bluejays | 69c | 72.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Creighton Bluejays | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…0334backed Butler Bulldogs | 19c | 62.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Butler Bulldogs | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Butler Bulldogs | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Butler Bulldogs | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 80c | 30.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.