Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x661fed3c95ae2efb6a9372b006a7be247fed74679ce14edf9fb5d12782f093aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 20,304$9,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,878.84 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 13,713$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,663.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 1,838$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.7 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,661$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.42 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 1,496$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 734$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.66 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Over | 47c | 574.16$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.3 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 51c | 108$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 52c | 24.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 158.5this page
- Spread: UAB Blazers (-1.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Spread: UAB Blazers (-2.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB BlazersTulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 157.5Over won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 159.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.