Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b455ad211d64c46ef11a71b381b3e6dcd7a638b3de082271b3724ae75b78d9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 23c | 1,014$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 708.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.73 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 697.17$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 3c | 678.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 660$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 510.25$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 390$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 22c | 176$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 155$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 22c | 153$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 22c | 139$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 15c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 22c | 82.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 22c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed No | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked No | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked No | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed No | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked No | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.