Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b077ee5f84e26cd6d340ebe285c35a1745facb9989864381561b304a0e63a24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d13…4458backed Yes | 7c | 4,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 16c | 699.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 19c | 326.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 16c | 317$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 9c | 243.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 204.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 196$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 18c | 158.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 79c | 153$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 147.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 142.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 16c | 135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Yes | 16c | 126$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Yes | 16c | 94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 16c | 93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 79c | 65.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddf…a2bcbacked Yes | 34c | 64.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 18.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.