TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kent State Golden Flashes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kent State Golden Flashesof Bowling Green Falcons, Kent State Golden Flashes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,116 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes62c1,833$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.11,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bowling Green Falcons2c1,471$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.552,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Bowling Green Falcons10c1,471$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.241,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bowling Green Falcons1c1,108$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.072,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Bowling Green Falcons42c1,067$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.5115861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bowling Green Falcons47c936.6$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.951,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bowling Green Falcons44c902.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.541,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kent State Golden Flashes59c882.53$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.123,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Bowling Green Falcons30c824.83$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8542327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bowling Green Falcons40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Kent State Golden Flashes57c750$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.555749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kent State Golden Flashes55c742.03$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.085,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bowling Green Falcons43c505.25$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.261,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bowling Green Falcons40c484.15$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.844,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes57c429.24$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.834,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kent State Golden Flashes59c407.92$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.752,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kent State Golden Flashes60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1405,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kent State Golden Flashes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12035243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bowling Green Falcons43c263.75$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4152928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Bowling Green Falcons44c227.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Bowling Green Falcons44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Bowling Green Falcons44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bowling Green Falcons50c182$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kent State Golden Flashes55c180.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.252630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bowling Green Falcons46c173$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.981,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Kent State Golden Flashes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4912245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bowling Green Falcons42c160.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Bowling Green Falcons25c157$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Kent State Golden Flashes57c153$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.796750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bowling Green Falcons49c148.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.172,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b8…8d54backed Kent State Golden Flashes29c130.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bowling Green Falcons37c129.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.661,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Bowling Green Falcons19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Bowling Green Falcons40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Kent State Golden Flashes51c98.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3936942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Kent State Golden Flashes57c98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.147243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Bowling Green Falcons40c84.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7621535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3439…1820backed Bowling Green Falcons42c69.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Kent State Golden Flashes58c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.34348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Bowling Green Falcons45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Kent State Golden Flashes59c55.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6848051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bowling Green Falcons41c51.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.893,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Bowling Green Falcons43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes52c47.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8514062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Bowling Green Falcons43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.352356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Kent State Golden Flashes43c41.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4810252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Bowling Green Falcons43c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.771833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Kent State Golden Flashes61c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.762152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Bowling Green Falcons43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Bowling Green Falcons43c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.192948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bowling Green Falcons40c32.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.011,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bowling Green Falcons42c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.442,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Bowling Green Falcons32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb1c1…090dbacked Bowling Green Falcons42c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.181650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed Kent State Golden Flashes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84667.4%31 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Kent State Golden Flashes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7115246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3332343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.