NHL · resolved market
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe73775b4eccfe3b8b4d658b0514659cdef9f3f6b65f6094eb07ab41a01c35c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Utah | 71c | 705$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Devils | 29c | 586.28$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.26 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Devils | 34c | 186$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Devils | 32c | 180$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Utah | 68c | 169$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Devils | 30c | 168$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah | 68c | 132.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Utah | 68c | 108$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…5160backed Devils | 32c | 108$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Devils | 31c | 107$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Devils | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Devils | 30c | 86.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Devils | 32c | 83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Utah | 66c | 81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Utah | 68c | 79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Devils | 32c | 75.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Devils | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Utah | 68c | 72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Utah | 68c | 72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Utah | 68c | 71.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Utah | 68c | 71.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Devils | 32c | 64.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Utah | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Utah | 68c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Utah | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Utah | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Utah | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Utah | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Utah | 63c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Utah | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Utah | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Utah | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…0b37backed Devils | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Utah | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Utah | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)this page
- Utah vs. DevilsDevils won
- Utah vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.