NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf914d880d89205b027d10136cca58672af6c7df23c4c5f89b289e0b3bddf5573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 1,522$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.66 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5709backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4d…e216backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…cccdbacked Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d80…7821backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b515backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…ac7bbacked Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…db9cbacked Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…2265backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d7…1f85backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1b…e4c5backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…df96backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…5f53backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…fc2bbacked Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5391…e8d1backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…a3d1backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…ed3cbacked Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf15…8424backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e30…7c68backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5a…a76dbacked Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…dfadbacked Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…6bfebacked Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…5af2backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1665…4d2fbacked Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d00…55a4backed Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daa…e840backed Over | 52c | 1,419$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…1f8fbacked Under | 48c | 1,391$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcda…ad87backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…3d1bbacked Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…f9e5backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…2ea0backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…429cbacked Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271b…dbe1backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e6…9173backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…05c3backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…bb58backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…dd5fbacked Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…b227backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…d058backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…62bbbacked Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c9…d4f1backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bb…b4d2backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325e…eecfbacked Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…2c72backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052d…545fbacked Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…557ebacked Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…276cbacked Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…2e73backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…6766backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…3e94backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…fa88backed Under | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Under | 47c | 1,382$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.7 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 501.94$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.61 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 395$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.35 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 382.24$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.76 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 323.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 303.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 49c | 288$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 207.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 60c | 134.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 48c | 106$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 60c | 84.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Under | 50c | 72.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 50c | 65.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 47c | 31.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 28.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
- Utah vs. DevilsDevils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.