NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e1fdc5e53120a16a34b3400837949e1fd0ab99c331b910ba0e14846a27eb60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…5500backed Under | 54c | 26,000$14,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,040 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…030bbacked Over | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Under | 56c | 11,250$6,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,326.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Over | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 44c | 4,817$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.46 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 3c | 4,372$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 4c | 4,231$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 4,047$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.48 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 7c | 3,432$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 3,256$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.82 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Under | 55c | 2,475$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 2,432$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.83 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 47c | 2,310$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.19 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 45c | 2,225$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.75 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 1,053$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.38 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Over | 50c | 853$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.16 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 54c | 556.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.77 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 49c | 517$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.6 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 48c | 504.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd2…60c2backed Over | 51c | 477.73$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 55c | 405.45$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 53c | 380.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 352.04$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 4c | 342.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Under | 43c | 253.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 44c | 240$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 57c | 235.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 50c | 229.86$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 54c | 221$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 46c | 218.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 56c | 200.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 198.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 44c | 177.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 45c | 177$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 50c | 168.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 153.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 59c | 149.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…4c5ebacked Under | 55c | 127$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 54c | 103$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 50c | 96.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…0dd5backed Over | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…fb72backed Over | 50c | 77.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 44c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 44c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Under | 40c | 64.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 46c | 63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…bcf2backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 52.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 45c | 47.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 44c | 35.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs won
- Penguins vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.