TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Lamar Cardinals vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Southeastern Louisiana Lionsof Lamar Cardinals, Southeastern Louisiana Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20ae…f107backed Lamar Cardinals22c690.79$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9442327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions44c341.14$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.541250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions47c286.4$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.79742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions80c283$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.61,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lamar Cardinals53c241.51$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Lamar Cardinals52c157$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.646451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions49c154.84$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.971,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Lamar Cardinals51c132$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.326253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions44c123.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.233,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Lamar Cardinals22c68.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157324.7%18 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions78c63.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Lamar Cardinals51c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.077353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.953557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions48c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.283348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lamar Cardinals53c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.612,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Lamar Cardinals54c36.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.826558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lamar Cardinals57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.113,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.23461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions74c33.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.661,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.833348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.323250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lamar Cardinals56c31.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.665,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.122846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.12,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.523360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Lamar Cardinals53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1373549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Lamar Cardinals52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.