Premier League · resolved market
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dcc08ca8ecfc9f7967f21dd3a6a90ba75e73b3854a411120b52db2d2b1ad8b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 262.34$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 244.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 54c | 231$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 55c | 215$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 55c | 159$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 54c | 97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 40c | 91.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 60c | 85.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 47c | 46.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 31c | 43.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 54c | 43.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.