Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe00468258fe8b9534c35cece673401fa4d51d3e40ad3839f7eafaf0eea431ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 61c | 533.63$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 20c | 444$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 22c | 113$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 100.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 22c | 97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 21.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.