Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa12426c49983a2d9a2153642a763a0a46dad325f9e9f10c7f888d49d5c7a4569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 7c | 631.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +869.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 53c | 399.95$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.98 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 283.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 19c | 116.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 46c | 116$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b0…4756backed Yes | 39c | 109.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked No | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 46c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Yes | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 59c | 29.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked No | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked No | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked No | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)FC Nantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.