South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfdf425feecc7eec5666a7d0dc45b4beca55894abb0a4db90b9ae7c281ad36dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 4,103$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 29c | 2,717$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.8 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 806.92$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 39c | 601.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.37 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 46c | 546.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 45c | 446.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 235.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 54c | 227.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 197.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 50c | 180.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 37c | 153.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 130.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 27c | 105.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 46c | 73.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 71c | 65.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 69c | 51.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Over | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 67c | 37.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605f…87a9backed Over | 55c | 36.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 63c | 34.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 78c | 33.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 63c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 20.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.