South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37da41fe23944f46d55e494f1e9bd9acef0f896a620ecb60fe89e8eb9fa319f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 257.93$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 37c | 132.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 21c | 111.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Yes | 37c | 107$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 66c | 103.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 34c | 103.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633d…36adbacked No | 63c | 49.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…c814backed No | 64c | 36.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…c7a9backed Yes | 39c | 32.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 31.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed No | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked No | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.