South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d8bc5da0a63ca308aaf173250c1800a7fa89ab0f61353c8e959c39b5db8beaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 700.48$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 27c | 603.58$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 73c | 370.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 9c | 218.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 27c | 109$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 73c | 84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Over | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…d9f0backed Under | 74c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 73c | 28.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 72c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Under | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Under | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 73c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.