Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd16bfc3ec8a5be444f242753932a94d45ab508adbfbaf325db643de0e7328c6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 1,840$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.39 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 73c | 974.5$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.91 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 15c | 911.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 772.12$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.21 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 79c | 605.49$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 464.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 12c | 404.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.31 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 375.56$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 318.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 69c | 262.76$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.54 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 28c | 175.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 26c | 141$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 73c | 136$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 28c | 97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 93.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 28c | 91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…0740backed Yes | 71c | 84.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 30c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 20c | 56.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 21c | 53.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked No | 72c | 47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 28c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…b1d1backed Yes | 76c | 38.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed No | 72c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…b038backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 72c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 15.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-10?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.