Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9daed5e28275cd047534da957813ecc157509cd2323612a48d05317db4ab5c46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 58c | 29,908$17,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,561.19 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 4,039$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 59c | 3,677$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.13 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 2,868$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.23 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 1,928$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.74 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 1,680$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.39 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 1,183$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.04 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 873.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Yes | 9c | 852.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 535$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.85 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 58c | 518.98$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 434.09$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed No | 59c | 349.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 43c | 260.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 41c | 229.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 40c | 219.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 17c | 208.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 55c | 135.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 42c | 117.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked No | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…b8a9backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 60c | 49.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 57c | 49.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 43c | 49.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Yes | 23c | 48.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 40c | 47.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…5022backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 58c | 36.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…8107backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…2239backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed No | 59c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.