Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22faba113c19e0e759e042eb18adb481712e5f8053ab9eb2ec6bb92f4e7f66f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 30,000$13,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,949.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 56c | 16,559$9,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,290.36 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 9,898$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.21 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 68c | 2,980$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.8 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 2,016$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.64 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 1,552$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.19 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 31c | 975.65$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.32 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 31c | 650$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 58c | 623.03$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.66 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 426$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 422.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 418.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 31c | 417.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 399.15$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 386$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.44 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 380$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…e9f9backed Yes | 62c | 321.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…b1d1backed Yes | 60c | 307.45$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 33c | 299.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 269.65$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Yes | 57c | 225.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 171.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 36c | 121.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 25c | 121.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 71c | 113.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked No | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 82.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 30c | 54.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 43c | 53.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…ea04backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…0740backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 57c | 29.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 56c | 28.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 68c | 26.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 55c | 21.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…754cbacked Yes | 75c | 21.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.