Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Davis Aggies vs. CSUN Matadors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d409aa5d9bf0836c9b6d17c5df9d2db2bbb3c5a40b369610b4e00abcc0ac81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSUN Matadorsof UC Davis Aggies, CSUN Matadors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked UC Davis Aggies | 42c | 176,295$73,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,793.08 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed CSUN Matadors | 58c | 84,688$49,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,568.86 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked CSUN Matadors | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked CSUN Matadors | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked CSUN Matadors | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked CSUN Matadors | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked CSUN Matadors | 77c | 1,139$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CSUN Matadors | 59c | 1,017$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CSUN Matadors | 54c | 913.74$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked CSUN Matadors | 59c | 855$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.47 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked CSUN Matadors | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked CSUN Matadors | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Davis Aggies | 16c | 661.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked UC Davis Aggies | 43c | 657$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.47 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed UC Davis Aggies | 27c | 498.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 3c | 406.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked CSUN Matadors | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked CSUN Matadors | 61c | 280.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed CSUN Matadors | 58c | 238.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed UC Davis Aggies | 61c | 225$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Davis Aggies | 46c | 213.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Davis Aggies | 41c | 202.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed CSUN Matadors | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UC Davis Aggies | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Davis Aggies | 40c | 195.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 49c | 188.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 40c | 148.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Davis Aggies | 53c | 137.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed CSUN Matadors | 40c | 123.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed UC Davis Aggies | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed CSUN Matadors | 56c | 103.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Davis Aggies | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UC Davis Aggies | 41c | 96.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed UC Davis Aggies | 50c | 79.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed CSUN Matadors | 41c | 69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UC Davis Aggies | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed CSUN Matadors | 61c | 63.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed CSUN Matadors | 55c | 58.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a4…bee0backed CSUN Matadors | 61c | 46.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed UC Davis Aggies | 47c | 45.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSUN Matadors | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed CSUN Matadors | 58c | 37.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 35.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed CSUN Matadors | 59c | 33.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed CSUN Matadors | 43c | 26.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CSUN Matadors | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed CSUN Matadors | 58c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Davis Aggies vs. CSUN Matadorsthis page
- UC Davis Aggies vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 162.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.