TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zverevof Zverev, Diallo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Diallo23c18,777$4,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,276.412,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Diallo25c12,090$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Diallo26c6,951$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.79616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Zverev59c6,217$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.1957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Diallo12c5,286$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.232,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Diallo14c5,045$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.852,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Diallo15c3,734$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.12,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Diallo24c3,157$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.662,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Diallo13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Zverev61c2,660$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.735362.3%33 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Diallo11c2,411$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6410815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…bc98backed Zverev66c2,348$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Diallo18c2,278$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.27,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Diallo15c2,152$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31933241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Diallo13c2,057$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.291,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Diallo13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Diallo20c1,825$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.2419023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Diallo13c1,650$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.727733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Diallo14c1,400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9944125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Diallo13c1,314$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.827,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Diallo15c1,210$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2430530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Diallo19c1,038$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.228825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Diallo14c736.09$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Diallo18c716.01$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0128139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Zverev74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1825457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…4a3cbacked Zverev65c677$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.811861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Zverev75c533$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.291,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Diallo19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Zverev79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3329661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Diallo36c487$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3213351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Diallo26c477.79$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.146043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diallo4c449.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Zverev77c435.98$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2825355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Diallo14c379.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.25435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Diallo25c368.39$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.447041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Diallo15c340$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a8…68ebbacked Diallo22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+120.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Zverev65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10518247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…d66ebacked Zverev80c256.06$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Diallo15c239.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.695425.9%14 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Zverev72c236.55$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.412,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Diallo23c231.84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3922236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Diallo15c229.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Diallo28c214.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.652,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Diallo24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf736…1406backed Diallo24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Zverev69c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.427058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Diallo21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4125542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Diallo18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610827.8%30 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Diallo25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020431.9%65 W · 139 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Diallo14c199.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Diallo14c180$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.222840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Diallo30c167.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.833444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Zverev79c155$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1774961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6387…9d9bbacked Zverev76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.13852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Diallo20c148.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2311927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Diallo33c148.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.655944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd392…e400backed Diallo14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-62.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Zverev75c132$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3339844.2%176 W · 222 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6587…6e84backed Diallo19c130$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.14057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Zverev63c121.72$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0420257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Diallo27c102.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7614947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b0…8bc6backed Diallo21c101.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.811942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Diallo42c95.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab5c…3fbdbacked Diallo14c74.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Zverev76c65.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.928964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zverev70c65.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0388455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Zverev77c59.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4418551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Diallo35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Diallo23c52.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.086657.6%38 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae0…910cbacked Zverev76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8854…070cbacked Zverev80c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.152055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2f18backed Zverev65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8685…9083backed Zverev79c38.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.886100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Diallo33c31.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5616144.7%72 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Zverev62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.426837.3%100 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ec…da98backed Zverev77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9711165.8%73 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Zverev79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Zverev59c20.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6a…6bd1backed Zverev65c18.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.461553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfa…223fbacked Zverev64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.633764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb856…8fb6backed Zverev76c15.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Zverev76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.