Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Furman Paladins (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ce1ac9a791ad7556fb859c005498d72e328046840f9ff836abd0011885b3d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samford Bulldogsof Furman Paladins, Samford Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Samford Bulldogs | 52c | 37,398$19,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,778.04 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Furman Paladins | 47c | 18,825$8,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,847.83 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 9,306$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Samford Bulldogs | 52c | 2,110$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.62 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Furman Paladins | 47c | 1,120$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Samford Bulldogs | 64c | 795.1$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins | 36c | 664.79$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 351.31$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.63 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Furman Paladins | 49c | 323.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Furman Paladins | 53c | 218.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Samford Bulldogs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 115.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 114.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…793dbacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 52.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 40.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 32.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Furman Paladins | 50c | 24.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-5.5)this page
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman PaladinsFurman Paladins won
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-6.5)Samford Bulldogs won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-7.5)Samford Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.