Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Furman Paladins (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x656bbec53d92405bc4b6146f9dbdb4155113b9fa78880f7714957efb7960d2d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samford Bulldogsof Furman Paladins, Samford Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Samford Bulldogs | 50c | 5,004$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Samford Bulldogs | 57c | 2,705$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Furman Paladins | 49c | 2,281$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Furman Paladins | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.46 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 1,318$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.76 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 400.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Furman Paladins | 45c | 373.91$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Furman Paladins | 50c | 297$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Furman Paladins | 49c | 256.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Samford Bulldogs | 55c | 201.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Furman Paladins | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Furman Paladins | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Furman Paladins | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 61.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Samford Bulldogs | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Furman Paladins | 45c | 42.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Furman Paladins | 51c | 35.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Furman Paladins | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Furman Paladins | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Furman Paladins | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Furman Paladins | 47c | 22.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…cba8backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-6.5)this page
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman PaladinsFurman Paladins won
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-5.5)Samford Bulldogs won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-7.5)Samford Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.