TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Foggia: Darya Astakhova vs Lisa Pigato

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Darya Astakhovaof Darya Astakhova, Lisa Pigato
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Lisa Pigato31c18,774$5,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,732.689,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa44…0a39backed Lisa Pigato49c7,326$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x841d…4a16backed Darya Astakhova74c3,091$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.664770.2%33 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Lisa Pigato40c2,546$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.5910161.4%62 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Lisa Pigato40c2,475$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99028039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Darya Astakhova49c2,405$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.584,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Darya Astakhova57c1,857$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.8229754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Lisa Pigato40c1,855$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.352,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Darya Astakhova68c1,560$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.292,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Darya Astakhova32c1,354$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.771,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Darya Astakhova62c1,049$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.052240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Darya Astakhova66c1,026$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.7618445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Darya Astakhova29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Darya Astakhova53c973.37$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.4849752.3%260 W · 237 L+28.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Lisa Pigato46c899.94$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9935132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Darya Astakhova53c850.48$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.286,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lisa Pigato9c827.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.96,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba2…eb93backed Darya Astakhova78c797.98$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.567364.4%47 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Lisa Pigato44c795.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017044.1%75 W · 95 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Lisa Pigato61c732.65$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.911553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed Lisa Pigato43c707.82$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.66922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Darya Astakhova59c663.2$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Lisa Pigato68c580.65$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.841,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Lisa Pigato70c563.38$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.371,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lisa Pigato68c516.84$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.453,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd441…87febacked Lisa Pigato48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Darya Astakhova51c454$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4639052.1%203 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Darya Astakhova44c445.14$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4110834.3%37 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Lisa Pigato51c423.26$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.881,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Darya Astakhova48c412.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.331,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Lisa Pigato49c376.18$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3321641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Darya Astakhova55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.59058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Lisa Pigato58c310$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5316133.5%54 W · 107 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lisa Pigato25c305.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2158248.3%281 W · 301 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked Lisa Pigato36c272.19$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7110152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed Darya Astakhova58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lisa Pigato66c247.59$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.557,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Darya Astakhova61c238$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.161,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Lisa Pigato46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lisa Pigato46c208.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.298,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Darya Astakhova50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Lisa Pigato43c197.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851,14447.2%540 W · 604 L+64.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lisa Pigato37c168.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.465,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Lisa Pigato48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805052%26 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Lisa Pigato12c162.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.156,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Darya Astakhova64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2515752.2%82 W · 75 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Darya Astakhova65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8528562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9265…2cc0backed Darya Astakhova65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855775.4%43 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Darya Astakhova50c149$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.255,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lisa Pigato48c148.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.743,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Lisa Pigato36c147.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0650458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Lisa Pigato30c145.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7138522.3%86 W · 299 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Lisa Pigato15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Lisa Pigato68c110.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.581,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Lisa Pigato43c103.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4533352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x112a…4778backed Lisa Pigato45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Darya Astakhova62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Lisa Pigato55c96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.828753%152 W · 135 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lisa Pigato38c93.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.467,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Lisa Pigato46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Darya Astakhova39c82.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7985637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Lisa Pigato37c82.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5224856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Lisa Pigato58c79.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2790459.5%538 W · 366 L+0.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Darya Astakhova63c76.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4661062.8%383 W · 227 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Darya Astakhova66c73.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8666834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Lisa Pigato70c71.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Lisa Pigato42c70.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Lisa Pigato68c69.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9758745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Lisa Pigato43c65.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Lisa Pigato47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa507…42b1backed Darya Astakhova63c63.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.761957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Darya Astakhova32c63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.842,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f7…15aabacked Lisa Pigato48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Lisa Pigato28c58.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.431,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Darya Astakhova65c55.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Lisa Pigato69c55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.141,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c58…79f7backed Darya Astakhova56c49.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.587764.9%50 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Darya Astakhova57c40.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.461,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Lisa Pigato51c40.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.781,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2417…d2a4backed Darya Astakhova45c40.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.964748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Darya Astakhova30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2852135.1%183 W · 338 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Darya Astakhova53c39.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5312248.4%59 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Lisa Pigato49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9843750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Lisa Pigato49c34.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1676853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea11…5c56backed Lisa Pigato45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Darya Astakhova53c32.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0816050.6%81 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Darya Astakhova53c31.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6514846.6%69 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad0…cdc2backed Darya Astakhova65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7711148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lisa Pigato56c30.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.942,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Darya Astakhova54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.873748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfca4…e183backed Lisa Pigato46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.813040%52 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Darya Astakhova43c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.961,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8048…a602backed Darya Astakhova76c27.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4519568.2%133 W · 62 L+19.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Darya Astakhova55c26.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0520259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3db…c173backed Lisa Pigato53c25.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3218540%74 W · 111 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lisa Pigato51c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Lisa Pigato51c21.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8679047.5%375 W · 415 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Lisa Pigato50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020327.1%55 W · 148 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked Darya Astakhova61c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.417945.6%36 W · 43 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Darya Astakhova64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6364755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.