TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Athletics, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$631,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$641,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ee1…dae8backed Rangers54c392,026$213,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178,412.096456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics46c125,186$57,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,585.41,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics44c113,495$50,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,444.3986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Rangers56c44,052$24,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,553.7718837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Athletics40c35,641$14,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,284.8397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics27c32,921$8,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,922.342,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Athletics45c30,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,5009749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Athletics46c25,197$11,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,525.0624553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics46c20,000$9,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,10041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rangers56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.9953150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics39c17,504$6,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,840.569,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Athletics42c15,991$6,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,758.5238444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics44c10,478$4,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.261,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics41c10,125$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.4854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Rangers61c10,086$6,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.4913352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1401,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Athletics45c6,045$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.3826949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics46c5,099$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.832,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Athletics46c3,825$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.2749250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Athletics18c3,711$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.414235.9%51 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics42c3,593$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50741747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Athletics47c3,400$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.9838249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Athletics45c3,340$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.878540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics29c3,265$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.611,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked Athletics45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3502231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Athletics46c2,900$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33414446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Rangers57c2,635$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.5624154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics5c2,435$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1695930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Rangers53c2,337$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.1426847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Athletics42c2,307$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.2832852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics44c2,134$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.191,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Athletics8c2,083$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Athletics41c2,034$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.8617927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Athletics18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers50c1,310$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65543946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Athletics47c1,065$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5520850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Athletics48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Athletics45c868.41$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.7995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Rangers53c814.93$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0224248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Athletics36c806.4$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.081,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34432042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics45c778$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.173352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers53c750$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Athletics15c690$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Athletics9c606.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3527733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics43c602.29$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers53c599.97$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Athletics2c531.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.755852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics32c511.96$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.264,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics3c500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics32c498.66$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.966,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Rangers53c470.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.367847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2313…3ee6backed Athletics44c449.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Athletics47c405$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3511555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers55c382.98$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.345,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d4…ba68backed Athletics44c368.61$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.772128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-46.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics45c352$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.81,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics4c324$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.568762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.41,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Athletics48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Athletics36c301.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5542955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Athletics47c266$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0291749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Athletics41c265$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3556440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Rangers52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12017239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Athletics45c240.52$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics20c240$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Athletics44c235.24$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5150852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Athletics34c233.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2813145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa98a…8f31backed Rangers53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Athletics12c220.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2738743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics41c219.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.21,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Athletics46c218$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers54c200.24$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.812,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8826650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Athletics5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Rangers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8011748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa350…fd30backed Rangers53c189.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.092642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Athletics24c187.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.949345.2%42 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f8…1bc3backed Rangers54c183.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.551963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6509…b713backed Athletics48c175.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.161931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8f6…1e55backed Athletics39c164.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.121533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Athletics46c160.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.613843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e30…66f2backed Athletics48c159.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.652646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Athletics46c158.46$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.896550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Athletics44c145.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.881,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Athletics42c143$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0631347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics10c127.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.298,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Athletics48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3558…1e67backed Rangers54c123.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.773250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Athletics47c115.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f7…8109backed Rangers57c114.77$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.352045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…2880backed Athletics44c114.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.362458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Athletics43c113.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9454441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Athletics42c111.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.915940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Athletics46c109.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3319449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa33f…fedbbacked Athletics43c108.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.076546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x367f…c41abacked Athletics48c100.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.152751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.