MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef59e051b273dd220dbf62a8d949fe080678cb8405311edee5b0805410400854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,086,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,099,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,086,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Royals | 40c | 813,919$326,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486,993.09 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Cubs | 60c | 139,570$83,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,083.23 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 60c | 128,061$77,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,101.27 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 59c | 116,551$68,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,557.76 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 60c | 110,000$65,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cubs | 56c | 81,175$45,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,133.55 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cubs | 61c | 80,000$48,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,799.94 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cubs | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,700 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cubs | 60c | 30,000$17,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Royals | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Cubs | 59c | 24,603$14,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,520.68 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Royals | 50c | 24,401$12,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,236.55 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Cubs | 59c | 24,011$14,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,166.55 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 61c | 18,882$11,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,513.05 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 46c | 17,523$8,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,018 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 60c | 16,474$9,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,884.69 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 60c | 14,691$8,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,871.51 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 54c | 13,702$7,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,379.38 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 55c | 12,056$6,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,671.7 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cubs | 60c | 12,009$7,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,255.04 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cubs | 50c | 11,995$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.31 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 59c | 11,700$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,945 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 59c | 11,000$6,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,540 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 60c | 9,727$5,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,851.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 40c | 9,651$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.28 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Royals | 68c | 9,386$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.88 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Cubs | 56c | 9,124$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.57 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cubs | 60c | 6,230$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cubs | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 28c | 4,674$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.14 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Royals | 48c | 3,985$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Cubs | 48c | 3,765$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Royals | 39c | 3,537$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.28 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 49c | 3,426$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.99 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cubs | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Royals | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Royals | 39c | 2,915$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.15 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 40c | 2,524$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.64 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 40c | 2,435$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.04 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…a733backed Cubs | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 61c | 2,325$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.1 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Cubs | 58c | 2,233$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.14 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 58c | 2,047$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.57 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 49c | 1,893$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Cubs | 60c | 1,657$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 39c | 1,569$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.83 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Royals | 41c | 1,451$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.22 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Royals | 46c | 1,408$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.28 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…23bdbacked Cubs | 58c | 1,386$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 25c | 1,370$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…abeabacked Royals | 42c | 1,300$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…0021backed Royals | 42c | 1,300$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Royals | 42c | 1,290$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.48 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Royals | 41c | 1,242$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.58 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cubs | 61c | 1,233$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.88 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…7ecdbacked Cubs | 58c | 1,214$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cubs | 49c | 1,209$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.29 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…91b7backed Royals | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…e432backed Royals | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Royals | 39c | 1,132$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.39 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Cubs | 8c | 1,112$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cubs | 2c | 1,075$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 60c | 1,039$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 42c | 1,000$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Royals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Royals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Royals | 39c | 894.87$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.87 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cubs | 60c | 875$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…a801backed Cubs | 1c | 814.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Royals | 41c | 803.75$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.62 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Royals | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs | 58c | 769.25$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.67 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Cubs | 60c | 767$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Cubs | 45c | 767$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.72 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Cubs | 11c | 751.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Cubs | 20c | 726.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 40c | 585$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Royals | 41c | 551.96$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.66 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Royals | 57c | 527.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…40bebacked Royals | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Royals | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Royals | 41c | 490$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Cubs | 6c | 447.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 18c | 434.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cubs | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 39c | 385$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Royals | 54c | 377$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Cubs | 49c | 354.36$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f86…6ca2backed Royals | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cubs | 50c | 340.88$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Cubs | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 49c | 330$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Royals | 41c | 316.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…df91backed Royals | 61c | 304.93$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Royals | 39c | 297.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Cubs | 62c | 268.55$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Royals | 43c | 258.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.