MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e504967d473d73bf020a6c05860deeea588194cd450e7dd16905f0d11887d2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Reds, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 57c | 26,273$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Nationals | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Reds | 54c | 15,802$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 46c | 12,576$5,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,788.19 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Nationals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.94 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 56c | 2,607$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 14c | 2,575$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.52 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Reds | 57c | 2,540$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.52 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Reds | 56c | 2,351$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.56 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nationals | 43c | 2,163$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.07 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Reds | 57c | 1,700$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 44c | 1,511$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.36 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 56c | 1,222$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 44c | 1,193$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.18 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Reds | 52c | 1,159$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 44c | 899.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 55c | 898.89$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.39 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 4c | 853.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nationals | 43c | 799.96$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.98 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Nationals | 38c | 703.37$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.46 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Nationals | 43c | 650$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 4c | 609.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 47c | 605$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.91 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 43c | 551$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.07 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 50c | 550.11$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Nationals | 44c | 547.73$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.73 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Reds | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…174ebacked Nationals | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nationals | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…6760backed Nationals | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Nationals | 44c | 488.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.34 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…d42cbacked Nationals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 45c | 419.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.8 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Reds | 53c | 377.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 46c | 334$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.98 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 43c | 296$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 4c | 288$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Nationals | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Reds | 56c | 215.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Reds | 56c | 210.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…9abcbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…836cbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…2883backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…5a20backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…aa23backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…d500backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…d4b5backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…12acbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…8edfbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…aa96backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…7de9backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…910bbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf783…7684backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…aeb1backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…e236backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…f9ccbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…7e4fbacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…87efbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…45eabacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…94dfbacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe319…3604backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…4f0cbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…eea8backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…324cbacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…408cbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…b301backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…4ff0backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.