MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2d26cd424bef96e1f83dd8ed8a5602a1a37f7e0c98a09298fb9871653f799a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,164,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,197,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,164,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 705,117$359,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345,909.06 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 49c | 263,620$130,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,445.21 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Pirates | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Pirates | 49c | 100,502$49,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,245.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Pirates | 49c | 92,549$45,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,348.98 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 55,748$28,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,023.32 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 49c | 41,535$20,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,407.02 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pirates | 10c | 27,213$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.88 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Pirates | 59c | 20,235$12,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,035.88 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 49c | 19,653$9,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,630.08 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 51c | 15,013$7,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,728.63 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 14,640$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320.03 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 14,534$7,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,001.11 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pirates | 48c | 14,322$6,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,874.78 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 54c | 13,437$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.44 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 11,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,937.11 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 57c | 11,554$6,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,529.33 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 51c | 8,906$4,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,541.93 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 47c | 7,628$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.29 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 53c | 7,379$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates | 54c | 5,351$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.3 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 5,166$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,753$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.29 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pirates | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 3,682$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.58 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,666$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 49c | 3,173$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.63 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,077$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.92 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.93 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,984$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.68 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.63 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Pirates | 50c | 2,677$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.07 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Pirates | 46c | 2,632$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.51 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,579$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,525$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.5 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Pirates | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,362$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.26 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,335$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.51 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 2,297$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.91 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pirates | 2c | 2,294$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Pirates | 50c | 2,170$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,165$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.81 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Pirates | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Pirates | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Pirates | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pirates | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 49c | 1,908$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.7 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,857$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.93 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,699$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.91 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 53c | 1,646$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.36 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,501$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Pirates | 59c | 1,365$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…2bd9backed Pirates | 49c | 1,317$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,317$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.31 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Pirates | 46c | 1,260$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 49c | 1,214$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.99 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,026$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.64 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 46c | 1,016$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.43 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates | 55c | 1,004$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 963.77$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.88 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 927.3$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.85 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 661.57$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.57 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 612.13$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.58 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Diamondbacks | 33c | 601.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.85 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 49c | 599.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.33 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 595$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.55 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 590$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.7 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 564$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.65 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 553.33$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.1 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Pirates | 47c | 536.33$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…e569backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pirates | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 412$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 391.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 49c | 383.67$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 45c | 368.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 58c | 362.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 357.45$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 356.42$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.31 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Pirates | 49c | 346.77$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 346$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 326$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 325.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 325$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 322.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 322$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.