TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Giants, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$635,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$666,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ee1…dae8backed Giants42c413,255$173,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239,892.716456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Braves58c174,555$101,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,241.96642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves58c172,818$100,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,234.191,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Braves60c51,718$31,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,247.8655053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Braves12c35,146$4,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,373.3586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Giants45c32,706$14,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,892.913352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Giants39c23,610$9,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,418.6912650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves58c22,500$13,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,05048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Braves53c15,149$7,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,967.742,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Braves58c11,415$6,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,665.7638444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Braves58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves58c7,000$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0601,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Giants40c4,437$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.7397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Giants52c4,301$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.322864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Braves61c4,000$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.996550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves42c3,831$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.589,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Braves58c3,404$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.3226949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Giants46c3,269$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.766749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Giants44c3,051$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.5731248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Giants39c3,011$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.5121740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Giants38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Braves58c2,700$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56649250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Giants39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.041,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Braves47c2,483$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.4315642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Braves61c2,464$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Braves60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Braves35c1,848$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Braves60c1,778$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.551,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Giants43c1,655$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.859044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6a…9f91backed Braves61c1,446$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.05977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves59c1,315$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.222,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Giants38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80695850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0823…b085backed Giants39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6043…0c7bbacked Giants39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Braves57c1,200$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.423545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves58c1,187$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.31,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Braves60c1,154$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.415,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fd…df8fbacked Braves61c1,154$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Giants46c1,063$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.8142452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Giants38c1,050$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6515648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Braves61c1,046$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.219452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Braves59c935.96$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.2518848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Braves60c923.7$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.228156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Braves2c849.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.218762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Braves57c822.17$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8653448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Braves63c800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50461346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves49c758.08$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.754,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Braves23c723.31$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16941747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb84…f704backed Giants40c714.93$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Braves58c708.8$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.1924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Braves24c642.23$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4612924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Braves61c592.61$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.4950852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Braves37c497.13$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.711,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants38c462.58$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.856451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Giants40c351.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7240152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Giants39c334.39$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.987548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Braves60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Giants43c313.7$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.76425%16 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Giants39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1832,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb9a…ba53backed Braves61c249.3$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.071369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Giants41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants39c225.01$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.881,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Braves60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11818243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df3…f15abacked Giants78c189.86$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.497940.5%32 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Braves57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Giants41c170.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7330242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Braves40c170.44$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8585235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76f…b8c3backed Braves47c166.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.261421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-56.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Braves55c156.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8638743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Giants40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Braves62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9392754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Giants52c142.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.549345.2%42 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d6…1733backed Giants43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5312940.3%52 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Giants39c134.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x894a…793fbacked Giants50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be8…1dd6backed Braves50c134$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Giants43c125$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2556440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Giants38c102.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6317244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Braves62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6269547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Braves59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5966751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Giants39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618552.9%45 W · 40 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9303…9718backed Braves61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b6…78e6backed Braves62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8779…f567backed Braves62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd5…c61dbacked Giants38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2260…6b92backed Braves63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x151c…47a0backed Giants39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5194…d8aabacked Giants39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8a…4b3bbacked Giants40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Giants39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6117850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd920…b7b6backed Giants39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.916752.1%87 W · 80 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Giants37c87.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9350843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Giants41c85.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.371,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.