Tennis · resolved market
ITF Roehampton: Naiktha Bains vs Victoria Allen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bae76c90dee3ba7c08b9c52a9beef142f1c1a1f914bfcefd36fd659d8de7375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naiktha Bainsof Naiktha Bains, Victoria Allen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Victoria Allen | 23c | 2,006$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.37 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Naiktha Bains | 44c | 1,862$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Victoria Allen | 60c | 883$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.81 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Naiktha Bains | 78c | 833.86$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Naiktha Bains | 64c | 350$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Victoria Allen | 36c | 298.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Naiktha Bains | 34c | 275.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.47 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Victoria Allen | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Naiktha Bains | 66c | 210$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Victoria Allen | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Victoria Allen | 36c | 196.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Victoria Allen | 23c | 186.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Victoria Allen | 12c | 130.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Naiktha Bains | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Naiktha Bains | 64c | 79.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Naiktha Bains | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Victoria Allen | 60c | 71.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Naiktha Bains | 43c | 56.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Victoria Allen | 62c | 44.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Naiktha Bains | 51c | 31.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Victoria Allen | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…5cccbacked Naiktha Bains | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Naiktha Bains | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.