Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6acef26f38a077ab4b3fd023aaf6071b3b69820a25b77350b3cc6f124d1641a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Colorado State Rams, Loyola Chicago Ramblers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado State Rams | 64c | 4,421$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 36c | 4,004$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.41 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 3c | 1,322$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 34c | 644$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…bed5backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 36c | 516.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…0d53backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 35c | 250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Colorado State Rams | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Colorado State Rams | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State Rams | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca7…a792backed Colorado State Rams | 63c | 22.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado State Rams vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersthis page
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-3.5)Colorado State Rams won
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-5.5)Colorado State Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.