WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs. Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3af0681de82a308f5e79e7a9bdea475568fb9159a120525d51bdafbb06688470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Valkyries, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Valkyries | 15c | 12,083$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 14c | 11,196$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.03 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Valkyries | 13c | 3,565$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.24 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valkyries | 10c | 1,577$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Valkyries | 13c | 1,213$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Valkyries | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Valkyries | 12c | 963.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valkyries | 13c | 916$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Valkyries | 15c | 820$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Valkyries | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Valkyries | 11c | 389$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Valkyries | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Valkyries | 7c | 243.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Valkyries | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Valkyries | 8c | 158.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Valkyries | 13c | 136$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Valkyries | 11c | 127$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valkyries | 11c | 127$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Valkyries | 8c | 124.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Valkyries | 10c | 111.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Lynx | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Lynx | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.