Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Invictus Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87335e0eb81132f95c8304c8103780186258b064c5ce8d4186346680a0d3686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Invictus Gaming | 45c | 57,364$25,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,547.09 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed Top Esports | 56c | 22,222$12,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,777.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Top Esports | 54c | 18,021$9,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,269.64 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Invictus Gaming | 23c | 10,917$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.53 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Top Esports | 55c | 10,041$5,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.52 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Invictus Gaming | 47c | 8,523$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Top Esports | 78c | 8,006$6,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.06 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Top Esports | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Top Esports | 77c | 2,700$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Top Esports | 58c | 2,524$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.22 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Top Esports | 61c | 2,100$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Top Esports | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Invictus Gaming | 42c | 1,932$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.51 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Invictus Gaming | 44c | 1,900$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Top Esports | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Top Esports | 57c | 1,444$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.52 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked Invictus Gaming | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Top Esports | 56c | 1,164$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.8 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Top Esports | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Top Esports | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Invictus Gaming | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…4577backed Top Esports | 59c | 668.15$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Top Esports | 57c | 527.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.52 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Top Esports | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 487.24$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.78 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Invictus Gaming | 35c | 260$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Top Esports | 55c | 224.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Top Esports | 55c | 222.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…4dddbacked Top Esports | 55c | 200.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Top Esports | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed Top Esports | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Top Esports | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Invictus Gaming | 20c | 158.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Invictus Gaming | 41c | 152.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed Top Esports | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Invictus Gaming | 9c | 127.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…cf54backed Top Esports | 78c | 112.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Top Esports | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Invictus Gaming | 47c | 101.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…0a2cbacked Invictus Gaming | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Invictus Gaming | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Top Esports | 58c | 86.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Top Esports | 70c | 76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Invictus Gaming | 79c | 72.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 259 | 52.1%135 W · 124 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Top Esports | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked Top Esports | 65c | 60.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Invictus Gaming | 70c | 53.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Top Esports | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Invictus Gaming | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…3a93backed Top Esports | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Invictus Gaming | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Top Esports | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Top Esports | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Invictus Gaming | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Invictus Gaming | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…610abacked Top Esports | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Top Esports | 34c | 29.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Top Esports | 52c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Top Esports | 55c | 23.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Invictus Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Invictus Gaming | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,144 | 63.3%724 W · 420 L | +53.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Top Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 663 | 16.4%109 W · 554 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed Top Esports | 62c | 19.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.