Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47d3dc2e6c30955ef3fa433cef18c34a2c702cb4b8f13c59879d59aeaed56433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 16c | 4,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 2,844$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,376$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 78c | 1,084$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.41 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 719.74$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 76c | 335.89$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 22c | 230.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 78c | 156.64$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 76c | 65.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 74c | 63.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…73b7backed Yes | 26c | 59.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 79c | 41.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 79c | 40.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 79c | 27.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…80f8backed No | 77c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 79c | 13.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.