Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcfa38dd990d566e5ba3f8f9f80cf51c616aa1239773a9d502d612147bfdcebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 4,545$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.57 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 4,013$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.31 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,636$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 32c | 1,558$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.66 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 983.45$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.48 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 31c | 886$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.66 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 881.79$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 647.32$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 512.67$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.34 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 466.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…8e93backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 290.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 32c | 189.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 22c | 181.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 32c | 131.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 32c | 91.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…a0e0backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed No | 70c | 26.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.