Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $140 November 3-9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x920d942b08ff42bdc3e636761ddb08c1e04d4eb077412853948140a0a8f9445d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 4c | 36,984$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.27 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…b646backed No | 78c | 19,008$14,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.73 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…ff71backed Yes | 3c | 9,740$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +273.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…264cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…9c34backed Yes | 3c | 4,767$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f2…a4cebacked Yes | 3c | 4,203$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 2c | 3,700$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…2f05backed Yes | 1c | 2,777$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,096$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.71 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 2c | 1,905$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 13c | 1,883$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.03 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,856$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.87 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…c129backed Yes | 5c | 1,389$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f1…85ebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…546abacked Yes | 3c | 1,214$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 11c | 999$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a9a5backed Yes | 2c | 952.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 72c | 934.53$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.95 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 9c | 907.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4163…802abacked Yes | 2c | 855.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd79…9793backed Yes | 15c | 804$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 31c | 752$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.58 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +599.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…5e6abacked Yes | 4c | 641.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 10cpaid | +400%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87b…1a52backed Yes | 2c | 613.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dc…4196backed Yes | 30c | 575$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…4e5cbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…eb29backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…6b6abacked Yes | 2c | 480$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 432.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…de27backed Yes | 2c | 420$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…87d7backed Yes | 3c | 375.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ced6backed Yes | 13c | 260.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…8d81backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…8fbabacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…1855backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…82c6backed No | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…9fbcbacked No | 70c | 185$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233d…54a8backed No | 74c | 139.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6403…799dbacked Yes | 15c | 129.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…9166backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…3463backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $140 November 3-9?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 November 3-9?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 November 3-9?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 November 3-9?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 November 3-9?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 November 3-9?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 November 3-9?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 November 3-9?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 November 3-9?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 November 3-9?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 November 3-9?No won
- Will Solana reach $240 November 3-9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.