Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3706f9ce8f2322c5aed28d640308b5ff785b7291dc9cd914230a6cbbb2622663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed No | 10c | 2,300$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 1,962$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.6 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 71c | 970$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 414.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.52 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 384.83$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 290.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 289.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 55c | 273.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 52c | 132.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 16c | 113.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 9c | 112.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 55c | 92.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…895ebacked Yes | 41c | 50.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 31c | 32.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 48c | 22.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.