Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cfab6cee33315b540b25d8c845ea82c1fa1224e48976615e8019a611665416d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 46c | 10,988$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 54c | 10,948$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.18 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.62 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 4,408$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.55 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 54c | 3,400$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 2,380$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.99 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,757$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 68c | 1,489$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.42 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f8…81bdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,275$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 2c | 1,098$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 41c | 799.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 54c | 591.68$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.17 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 486.59$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.28 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 20c | 361.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…c5b3backed Yes | 27c | 331.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 32c | 320.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…fa8fbacked Yes | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 275.47$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 29c | 204.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 56c | 180.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 70c | 131.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 130.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 46c | 129.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Yes | 47c | 126.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 107.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 15c | 105.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…79cbbacked Yes | 40c | 99.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 33c | 97.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Yes | 49c | 89.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 22c | 89.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…7805backed Yes | 38c | 89.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 66c | 86.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 23c | 64.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 64c | 62.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 47c | 62.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 69c | 61.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 30c | 57.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Yes | 47c | 53.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 27c | 52.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…ab7dbacked Yes | 45c | 50.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…70e3backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Yes | 46c | 43.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 47c | 42.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…5ea2backed Yes | 36c | 41.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 32c | 39.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…e1aabacked Yes | 37c | 32.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed No | 55c | 30.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked No | 64c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 71c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.