TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,408
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,408 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed Under51c85,157$43,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,731.134961.2%30 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over49c71,266$34,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,920.4724650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c11,911$6,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,717.061,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over49c9,692$4,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,732.52,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c9,550$4,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,601.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Under51c8,949$4,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,394.0819351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Over49c8,500$4,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1655139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x98a9…676ebacked Under51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9202250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0801…fd93backed Over49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…9ecabacked Under52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.31875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x383b…9f78backed Under51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over49c5,559$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.9435651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c5,339$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.152,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over49c4,825$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.2548347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b8…1d5bbacked Under52c4,423$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef8f…fa57backed Under51c2,706$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c1,503$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.472,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Over48c1,189$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.0427051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under52c1,151$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.240952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over50c1,144$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.5650047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c910$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c675.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c611.13$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under28c544.01$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.7522836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under53c452.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8338347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c426.71$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.592,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Over56c425.9$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19619351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfa…d05cbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x444e…31c1backed Over77c349$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7318852.7%99 W · 89 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5db…218ebacked Over50c338$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c302.04$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14741742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c1…f87cbacked Under52c259.62$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…7f16backed Under51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c196.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9860346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da1…d6bcbacked Over48c190.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under33c166.88$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.981,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Under37c165.41$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0118554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Over49c150.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.985050%25 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd60…ab55backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed0…0585backed Over69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under51c141$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.092,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9945…bfa6backed Over46c139.28$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over49c129.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Over49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86ac…2c33backed Over50c122$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Over49c121.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5611445.6%52 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc12…69d8backed Over50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc03…89ccbacked Over50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0a…f786backed Over50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4562848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012245.9%56 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09e3…cf81backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4518955%104 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c93…615dbacked Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Over49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918656.5%105 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over45c98.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.13,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1535438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4615…5866backed Under54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over56c83.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.811,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under49c80.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7147349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eec…be17backed Over49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c70.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.524,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x467b…e654backed Over49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick64cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7c0…6aa1backed Under51c61.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.29887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc1d…ff79backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over44c59.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c50.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.712,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over50c46.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0910234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Over65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Over73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…9aa5backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Over35c39.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.752015%3 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2210550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465662.5%35 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4623642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47cd…1f8bbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.748958.4%52 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b7…704ebacked Over49c37.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.291323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fe…dbf8backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156633.3%22 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.