NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6869be0398c9fcc27aee1773653ba815ace43debd3abc300e1da9ab5d6337a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Under | 51c | 85,157$43,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,731.13 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 49c | 71,266$34,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,920.47 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 11,911$6,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,717.06 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 9,692$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 9,550$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 51c | 8,949$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.08 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Over | 49c | 8,500$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x98a9…676ebacked Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…fd93backed Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…9ecabacked Under | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383b…9f78backed Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 49c | 5,559$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.94 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 5,339$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.15 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 4,825$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.25 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…1d5bbacked Under | 52c | 4,423$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…fa57backed Under | 51c | 2,706$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 1,503$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.47 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 48c | 1,189$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.04 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 52c | 1,151$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.2 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 50c | 1,144$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.56 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 910$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 675.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 611.13$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 28c | 544.01$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.75 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 426.71$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.59 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Over | 56c | 425.9$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…d05cbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Over | 77c | 349$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.73 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5db…218ebacked Over | 50c | 338$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 302.04$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…f87cbacked Under | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…7f16backed Under | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 196.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da1…d6bcbacked Over | 48c | 190.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 33c | 166.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 37c | 165.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Over | 49c | 150.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…ab55backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…0585backed Over | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 51c | 141$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…bfa6backed Over | 46c | 139.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 49c | 129.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ac…2c33backed Over | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 49c | 121.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…69d8backed Over | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc03…89ccbacked Over | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…f786backed Over | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…615dbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 45c | 98.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5866backed Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 56c | 83.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 49c | 80.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eec…be17backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 70.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…e654backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6aa1backed Under | 51c | 61.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 50.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 50c | 46.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…9aa5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Over | 35c | 39.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…704ebacked Over | 49c | 37.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…dbf8backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. BucksBucks won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.