Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2e05bc4bcb6f9cb408c6a91e8c6ed030c80b7b13c292eeb78efef0b9d0fcaf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,461$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.65 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 47c | 744.18$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.57 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 472.9$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.62 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 454.33$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.46 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 46c | 443.03$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.87 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 36c | 424.46$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 48c | 360$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 308$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.68 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 29c | 286.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 42c | 281.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 25c | 277.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked No | 49c | 245$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 42c | 239.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 60c | 198.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 43c | 186.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 186.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 170.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 135.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 129$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 38c | 128.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 42c | 127$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 119.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 42c | 116.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 69c | 116.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 65c | 113.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 39c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 43c | 103.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 56c | 99.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 95.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 45c | 90.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 89.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…b755backed No | 41c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 49c | 84.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 26c | 83.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 49c | 82.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 54c | 81.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 34c | 77.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 43c | 76.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 37c | 76.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 75.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 26c | 74.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 42c | 73.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 35c | 73.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 46c | 68.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…adbebacked Yes | 62c | 65.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…52dcbacked Yes | 70c | 63.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 39c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 57c | 61.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 38c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…e002backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 44c | 58.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 35c | 54.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 57c | 54.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…bcffbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 36c | 49.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed No | 42c | 47.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 301 | 44.9%135 W · 166 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 51c | 47.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 43c | 42.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 29c | 42.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 45c | 41.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 38.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 63c | 37.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 29c | 36.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 56c | 33.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 33.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…5671backed Yes | 76c | 32.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 61c | 32.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 47c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…acc4backed Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…13d2backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 76c | 30.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f81…7ce2backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.